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Better Than Expected in U.S.; Weaker
Than Expected in Europe
BERKELEY, Calif. (January 24,
2003) -- Global Touch, Inc.® one of high-tech industry's foremost
channel consulting firms, announced today results of its quarterly Channel
Tracker report focusing on enterprise storage and switches. This
edition reports on enterprise storage and switches product sales in the
indirect channel in the U.S. and European for the quarter ending December
31, 2002. The results provide a "snap shot" of enterprise storage and
switches product demand, sell through, sales, pricing, gross margins,
vendor performance, forward quarter sales prediction, forward revenue
plans, forward pricing estimates, changes to customer budgets, and normalized
customer spending rate in both the United States and Europe.
"It was another tough quarter
for most enterprise storage and switches companies and their channel partners
in the U.S. In Europe, it was particularly brutal due to the mixed economic
conditions across the region," stated Denise Sangster, President & CEO
of Global Touch, Inc.
The data for the Enterprise
Storage and Switches edition of the Channel Tracker report was collected
from participants during the last two weeks in December 2002. It focuses
on sales in the 4th calendar quarter (October 1 to December 30, 2002).
Key vendors tracked in this survey include Brocade, EMC, Hewlett-Packard,
Hitachi Data Systems, IBM, Network Appliance, Snap Appliance, and Sun
Microsystems. This is the tenth quarterly issue of the Enterprise Storage
and Switches edition of Channel Tracker.
The Big Enterprise Storage
and Switches Picture. "The enterprise storage and switches market
experienced better than expected U.S. sales, but weaker than expected
European sales," stated Sangster.
54 percent of U.S. respondents
predict enterprise storage and switches sales will accelerate in the H2:03
or 2004 or later. 78 percent of European respondents predict enterprise
storage and switches sales will accelerate in CQ2:03 or the H2:03. "The
question that no one wants to discuss is, what will happen if volumes
continue to fall or remain flat through at least the first half or all
of 2003?"
Enterprise Storage and
Switches Revenue Growth. 75 percent of U.S. respondents indicated
that enterprise storage and switches equipment sales were in-line with
expectations. 62 percent of European respondents indicated that the
quarter was below-to-extremely below sales expectations. (See
Terminology Explanation at the end of this press release, below.)
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Sequential Quarter Revenue
Growth. In a sequential quarter revenue growth comparison (CQ4:02
compared to CQ3:02), U.S. respondents indicated that sales of HP, IBM,
Snap, and Sun were in-line or in-line-to-ahead of expectations. Brocade,
EMC, Hitachi Data Systems, and Network Appliance were below-to-extremely
below expectations.
European respondents indicated
that sales for Brocade, HP, Hitachi Data Systems, and Snap were in-line
or in-line-to-ahead of expectations. IBM, Network Appliance, and Sun were
below-to-extremely below or extremely below expectations. EMC was nearly
evenly split, with 50 percent indicating sales in-line-to-ahead of expectations.
Next Quarter's Revenue
Growth Prediction. U.S. respondents predict mixed enterprise storage
and switches sales in the forward three months compared to the same period
in 2002 (CQ1:03 vs. CQ1:02). Respondents predict strong or moderate-to-strong
growth in CQ1:03 compared to CQ1:02 for Brocade, EMC, HP, and Snap. Predicted
sales for Hitachi Data Systems, IBM, Network Appliance, and Sun are moderate-to-flat.
2003 Revenue Plans.
59 percent of U.S. respondents predict lower 2003 revenues in comparison
to 2002 for enterprise storage and switches sales, but will re-evaluate
H2:03 revenues in Spring 2003. 46 percent of US respondents expect 2 percent
to 4 percent normalized revenue growth rate in 2003 for enterprise storage
and switches products. 43 percent of respondents expect 0 percent to 1
percent growth rate.
European respondents are mixed.
39 percent predict higher 2003 revenues in comparison to 2002 revenues
for networking equipment sales. 32 percent predict 5 percent to 8 percent
growth, while 35 percent predict 2 percent to 4 percent normalized revenue
growth rate.
General Information.
Global Touch's next report is the Channel Pulse edition of Channel Tracker
covering Mid-Quarter 1:03. It is scheduled for release by the seventh
week of the quarter. Other focused Channel Tracker reports are available
on the Global Touch website
(http://www.globaltouch.com).
The complete CQ4 2002 Enterprise
Storage and Switches Equipment edition of Channel Tracker report, including
charts that reflect the key data, is available online at the Global Touch
Web site (http://www.globaltouch.com/networking/)
or, by e-mailing globaltouch@globaltouch.com.
The report contains all of the survey results for both the U.S. and Europe
including specific information on key industry vendors. Details of the
survey's methodology and respondents are included in the report.
Subscription Pricing.
Channel Tracker can be purchased from Global Touch at $399 (USD) per issue.
A four-quarter subscription is $1,436.00 .
About Channel Tracker.
In June of 1999, Global Touch, Inc.® launched, in association with
the Morgan Stanley Technology Group, the quarterly Channel Trackerä. Today,
the Channel Tracker is a quarterly benchmarking service designed to capture
the pulse of the information technology channels. This is the first service
to simultaneously capture U.S. and European data and report findings as
calendar quarters are closing. The results are a "snap shot" of enterprise
storage and switches products demand, sell through, sales, pricing, gross
margins, vendor performance, forward quarter sales prediction, forward
revenue plans, forward pricing estimates, changes to customer budgets,
and normalized customer spending rate in both the United States and Europe.
Terminology Explanation.
The following is a summary of terminology used in this press release:
- Table No. 1:
- Ahead of Expectations:
6%+ Above Plan
- In-Line with Expectations:
1% to 5% Above Plan
- Below Expectations:
1% to 10% Below Plan; and
- Extremely Below Expectations:
11%+ Below Plan.
- General References:
- CQ4:01: Fourth Calendar
Quarter (October 1 to December 31) 2001;
- CQ1:02: First Calendar
Quarter (January 1 to March 31) 2002;
- CQ2:02: Second Calendar
Quarter (April 1 to June 30) 2002;
- CQ3:02: Third Calendar
Quarter (July 1 to September 30) 2002;
- CQ4:02: Fourth Calendar
Quarter (October 1 to December 31) 2002; and
- CQ1:03: First Calendar
Quarter (January 1 to March 31) 2003.
About Global Touch.
Global Touch® is a premier global channel consultancy company serving
the information technology industry. Its expertise is in developing leveraged
sales models and strategic partnerships that help shorten or re-engineer
the path to sustainable revenue streams.
Based in Berkeley, California,
its approach is built on extensive global experience, in-depth market
research and information resources, and a worldwide network of industry
contacts. Since 1989, its "insider" knowledge, rigorous analysis, and
unconventional insights have helped build winning strategies, partnerships,
and solutions that have generated millions of dollars in benefits and
ROI to our clients' bottom line.
From 1993 until 2000, the company
produced EuroChannels, recognized as Europe's leading channel conference
for senior-level computer industry executives. The company also hosted
CyberChannels and the EuroProduct ConneXion prior to selling its conference
business to Smith, Bucklin & Associates in summer 2000.
For more information on Global
Touch and its products and services, visit the company's Web site at www.globaltouch.com
or contact the company via e-mail at globaltouch@globaltouch.com
or by telephone at +1-510-649-1100.
© 2003, Global Touch, Inc. All rights reserved.
Global Touch® and Channel Tracker are trademarks or registered
trademarks of Global Touch, Inc.¨, including each of their logos, and
are protected throughout the world. All other marks are owned by their
respective trademark holders.
NOTE TO EDITORS: All information taken from
the Channel Tracker Report must be attributed to Global Touch. Text should
be identified as "Source: Global Touch, Inc." and the Global Touch copyright
notice (© 2003, Global Touch, Inc.) should be affixed to all graphics.
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